NINE ELECTION NIGHT MAPS

This is information I am furnishing from an email listserv and also from the author himself, William Castronuovo. They give a good overview of what election might might look like. At the end of the post, I've included his nine maps as well.


1.) Attached are nine maps of “possible” election
night Electoral College totals that I’ve created.
The maps resemble the average “trend tendencies”
of national, state, published and broadcast media
and Internet polls as of Oct. 21.

2.) The maps are just an overview for use on
election night — and they were fun to make.

3.) What the attached Electoral maps show:

a) Each map graphic shows the states where
voting has ended using Eastern Time: 7 p.m.,
7:30 p.m., 8 p.m., 8:30 p.m., 9 p.m., 10 p.m., and
11 p.m. ( Alaska polls close at 1 a.m. ET and are
included with the 11 p.m. map ).

b) There are three 11:00 p.m. ET maps
that show: The “likely” Electoral College votes
won; a “plausible” scenario of electors won; and
a most “unlikely” result — but not an absolutely
impossible event. I used the 1936, 1972 and 1980
Electoral College maps as a concept for the “unlikely”
event shown on map plate #9.

4.) At the bottom of each of the nine graphics is
a list of of the considerations used in creating the
illustrated models and a color key.

5.) What’s more, though polls close at scheduled
times, the results needed to call the winner of a
state could take hours — taking into consideration
voter turnout and how close some contests may
actually be by Nov. 4.

6.) However, if a candidate has more than a 5 point
or more lead in a variety of election-eve polls in any
state, that may be a good indicator to weigh.

7.) Ignore the “national polls” all together. Only
monitor the polls taken in each state — we’re watching
only the Electoral College count — not national
popularity. I think the election may be called by the
networks, the Associated Press and National Voter
Service between 10 p.m. and midnight ( 9 to
11 p.m. Chicago time ).

8.) There are zero models that show any possibility
of a 269-269 electoral vote tie.

Enjoy and forward these maps to anyone you’d like,
— William Castronuovo
Columbia, South Carolina

Note: The maps are no longer available